美国International Data Corp.(IDC)发布预测称,2007~2012年SSD(固态硬盘)全球销售额的将年均增长70%。07年的全球销售额约为4亿美元。SSD全球供货量预计2007~2012年将年均增长76%。
IDC表示,今后推动SSD销售额稳定增长的领域为:企业用高性能计算机、军事及产业等用途。这是由于上述用途中,SSD比其它存储器技术更具优势。然而真正拉动SSD市场增长的还是个人电脑、超低价个人电脑(Ultra Low-cost Personal Computer:ULCPC)以及企业用计算机等,在这些领域SSD的采用才刚刚起步。
因业界对今后NAND闪存的价格继续普遍看跌,IDC也预测SSD的价格会下降。估计在SSD的价格降至一定水平后,尤其是在环境条件等要求坚固性的产品领域,设备厂商在本公司产品上采用SSD的积极性将会提高。另外,估计初期阶段构成SSD市场的领域包括:能够接受现在SSD昂贵价格的企业用存储器、高性能个人电脑以及面向重度用户的个人电脑等。
英文原文:
The Worldwide Solid State Drive Market is for Real – IDC Predicts Revenue Will Grow at a 70% CAGR Through 2012
24 Jun 2008
FRAMINGHAM, Mass., June 24, 2008 – The worldwide solid state drive (SSD) market is for real and generated nearly $400 million in revenues in 2007. SSD revenue will increase at a 70% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2007–2012 and unit shipments at a slightly faster rate of 76%, IDC predicts. Traditional markets, including high-performance enterprise computing and military, industrial, or rugged applications, will continue to provide a solid base of revenue for the SSD market. These applications leverage the advantages inherent with SSDs as compared to other storage technology solutions. However, the real growth engine for SSDs will be derived from new markets that SSDs are just now beginning to penetrate.
Future market trends related to price per gigabyte, performance, power, and reliability requirements align well with the benefits that SSDs provide in certain market segments, such as in the PC, ultra low-cost PC (ULCPC), and enterprise computing segments, and this is where IDC expects adoption to occur. For instance, as NAND flash pricing continues to decline, SSD price points will follow. This increasing affordability will continue to feed device OEM interest in using SSDs in their designs, especially those segments where storage and environmental requirements play to the strengths of SSDs.
"The future for SSDs continues to look bright," said Jeff Janukowicz, research manager for Hard Disk Drive Components and Solid State Disk Drives. "Adoption will be measured and deliberate, focusing first on market segments that can tolerate the premium associated with SSDs (e.g., enterprise storage, high-end PCs, and power users). Nevertheless, IDC sees nothing but increasing opportunities for SSDs as technology advances and requirements converge."
IDC's study, Worldwide Solid State Drive 2007-2012 Forecast and Analysis: Entering the No-Spin Zone (Doc #212736), examines the market and opportunities for SSDs in terms of units, exit factory revenue, and terabytes shipped through 2012. Various metrics, significant trends, and industry dynamics are also analyzed in an attempt to give the reader a solid understanding of the current situation and future outlook for the worldwide SSD market.